The published hit rates for every box format, the complete parallel rainbow with print runs, and where each autograph and relic set actually lands.
Want the full checklist too? See the 2026 Topps Series 1 checklist.
How to read these odds
Odds are per pack. "1:190" means one pull on average every 190 packs — and since a Hobby box holds 24 packs, that works out to about one every eight boxes across the print run, which is why Topps guarantees one per box rather than leaving it to chance. Where Topps published a print run instead of a pull rate, the print run is shown: it is the total number of copies that exist.
Five formats, five different hit structures. Jumbo (HTA) has the best odds in the product by a wide margin — its 1:26 pack rate is roughly seven times Hobby and more than sixty times Mega.
| Format | Price | Config | Auto / Relic Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | ~$99.99 | 24 packs × 14 cards | 1:190 packs — 1 auto or relic guaranteed per box, plus a Silver Pack |
| Jumbo (HTA) | ~$199.99 | 10 packs × 40 cards | 1:26 packs — 1 auto + 1 relic + 1 manufactured relic + 2 Silver Packs |
| Mega | ~$49.99 | 14 packs × 14 cards | 1:1,662 packs — no hit guarantee. 3 Crackle Foil parallels per box |
| Value Blaster | ~$24.99 | 8 packs × 12 cards | 1:4,547 packs — no hit guarantee. 2 Spring Training parallels per box |
| Tins (3-Pack) | ~$44.99 | 3 packs × 59 cards | No hit guarantee. 6 Holiday parallels per tin, tin-exclusive |
Auto/relic rates per the official Topps odds sheet: 1:190 Hobby · 1:26 Jumbo · 1:1,662 Mega · 1:4,547 Value Blaster.
Ordered from most common to rarest. Topps published pull rates for the unnumbered and Aqua tiers; everything below that is defined by print run.
| Parallel | Odds / Print Run | Format |
|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Foil | ~1:4 packs | Hobby / Jumbo |
| Sandglitter | ~1:2 packs | Jumbo only |
| Aqua Rainbow Foil | 1:500 packs | Hobby only |
| Aqua Holo Foil | 1:500 packs | Retail only |
| Gold | #/2,026 | All formats |
| Pink Holo Foil | #/800 | Retail |
| Yellow Rainbow Foil / Holo Foil | #/399 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Purple Rainbow Foil / Holo Foil | #/250 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Blue Rainbow Foil / Holo Foil | #/150 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Green Rainbow Foil / Holo Foil | #/99 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Cherry Blossom | #/99 | Japan exclusive |
| Independence Day | #/76 | All formats |
| 75 Years of Topps | #/75 | All formats |
| Black Border | #/75 | All formats |
| Canvas | #/50 | All formats |
| Gold Rainbow Foil / Sandglitter / Holo Foil | #/50 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Memorial Day Camo | #/25 | All formats |
| Orange Rainbow Foil / Sandglitter / Holo Foil | #/25 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Wood | #/25 | All formats |
| Black Rainbow Foil / Sandglitter / Holo Foil | #/10 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Red Rainbow Foil / Sandglitter / Holo Foil | #/5 | Hobby, Jumbo / Retail |
| Foilfractor | 1/1 | Hobby only |
| Rose Gold Holo Foil | 1/1 | Retail only |
| First Card | 1/1 | All formats |
| Printing Plates (4 colors) | 1/1 each | Hobby / Jumbo |
Flagship Real Ones Autographs
The primary autograph hit in Hobby and the most likely signature in a Hobby box.
1991 Topps Baseball Autographs
Retro 1991 design with an exclusive Blue Foil /150 parallel.
75 Years of Topps Autographs
Anniversary-themed signatures with Gold, Red and Platinum 1/1 parallels.
Insert Autographs (All Aces and others)
Signed insert versions, usually /25 or lower. True case-hit territory.
Major League Material (87 cards)
The most accessible relic. Parallel ladder runs Rainbow Foilboard → Blue /150 → Gold /50 → Orange /25 → Black /10 → Red /5 → Platinum 1/1.
City Connect Swatches (50 cards)
Player-worn City Connect uniform swatches on the same parallel ladder.
Heavy Lumber Autographic Relics (87 cards)
Dual hit — autograph plus relic on wood-grain stock. Case-hit range.
In the Name Relics (58 cards)
Game-used nameplate letter patches. Roughly one per Jumbo case; the full-name card is a 1/1.
Always verify final odds on the pack wrapper. Topps occasionally adjusts insertion rates between announcement and production.
Topps published combined autograph and relic odds of 1:190 packs in Hobby, 1:26 packs in Jumbo (HTA), 1:1,662 packs in Mega and 1:4,547 packs in Value Blaster. Hobby boxes guarantee one autograph or relic; Jumbo guarantees one autograph, one relic and one manufactured relic.
Jumbo (HTA) by a wide margin. Its 1:26 pack rate is roughly seven times better than Hobby and more than sixty times better than Mega. Jumbo is also the primary home of In the Name letter patch relics, which land about one per Jumbo case.
Aqua Rainbow Foil falls at 1:500 Hobby packs. The retail equivalent, Aqua Holo Foil, falls at 1:500 retail packs.
The 1/1 tier: Foilfractor (Hobby only), Rose Gold Holo Foil (retail only), Rose Gold Spring Training (Value Blaster only), First Card, and the four Printing Plates. Below that, the Red parallels at /5 are the rarest numbered tier. For how case-level rarity works generally, see what a case hit is.
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