Odds Pending — Release Oct 21Mega Box · Tin · Advent Calendar

2026 Topps Holiday Baseball Odds

Every printed pull rate for 2026 Topps Holiday on one page, with box math: parallels, Chrome variations, Holiday Variation short prints, Hidden Elf, ornaments and relics.

Want the cards themselves? See the full 2026 Topps Holiday checklist.

Waiting on Topps

Topps hasn't published the official 2026 Holiday odds sheet, or the full parallel lineup, yet. We only print rates transcribed from Topps' sheet, so every rate below reads Pending until it's out. What we can confirm now: a Mega Box is 10 packs of 10 cards and averages one autograph, relic or Chrome base card, one Die-Cut Ornament and three Holiday Variation short prints. A Tin holds six Holiday Lights parallels, and an Advent Calendar averages two Chrome Plaid parallels.

Reading Holiday Odds

Topps prints odds per pack. A Mega Box holds 10 packs, so divide the second number by 10 to get boxes:

Printed OddsIn Mega Boxes (10 packs)
1:5~2.0 per box
1:501 per 5.0
1:2501 per 25
1:1,0001 per 100

Worked examples, not Holiday rates.

Parallel Odds

Topps has named only the two parallels new for 2026 so far. The full lineup goes here when the sheet is out.

ParallelMega BoxIn Boxes
Metallic Gingerbread ManPending—
Snow DaysPending—

Insert, Variation & Relic Odds

SetCardsMega BoxIn Boxes
Base Cards Chrome Variation200Pending—
Holiday Variation Short Print25Pending—
Holiday Variation Super Short Print25Pending—
Holiday Variation Backs Short Print25Pending—
Holiday Variation Backs Super Short Print25Pending—
Hidden Elf25Pending—
Making the Nice List25Pending—
Die-Cut Ornament20Pending—
Oversized Die-Cut Ornament20Pending—
Holiday Relics45Pending—
Holiday Faux Relics5Pending—

Card counts are from Topps' preliminary checklist. Autographs aren't on that sheet yet.

Want the Whole Set?

See the Full 2026 Topps Holiday Checklist

All 200 base cards card by card, every insert and relic set, and a free printable PDF.

View Full Checklist →

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