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2026 Bowman Chrome Baseball Odds

Every printed pull rate for 2026 Bowman Chrome — Hobby vs Mega Box, the full Refractor rainbow with print runs, Chrome Prospect and Rookie Autograph odds, and every insert.

Want the full checklist too? See the 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist.

Quick Answer

Hobby: Refractor 1:20, Pulsar /399 1:23, Blue /150 1:64, Green /99 1:97, Gold /50 1:192, Orange /25 1:384, Red /5 1:1,921, SuperFractor 1:9,641. Chrome Prospect Autographs 1:6 — that's the two-per-box guarantee — and Chrome Rookie Autographs 1:371. Mega Box: a separate Mojo rainbow, Fuchsia Mojo 1:77 down to Rose Gold Mojo 1:22,982, with the Mega prospect auto at 1:97.

Box Format Odds — Hobby vs. Mega Box

Two products, two release dates, two odds sheets. Hobby is the deep-checklist version with guaranteed on-card autos; Mega is a streamlined retail release built around a finish you cannot get anywhere else.

FormatConfigOdds Highlights
Hobby6 packs × 10 cards · 12 boxes/case2 on-card autographs per box, guaranteed. Deepest rainbow — Pulsar /399, Fuchsia Wave /299, Blue Wave /150 and Wave /100 are Hobby-exclusive. Released September 9, 2026. ~$299.99 SRP.
Mega Box (Retail)6 packs × 6 cards · 20 boxes/caseNo auto guarantee. Built around the Mega-exclusive Mojo Refractor finish. Released September 23, 2026.

All odds on this page are per pack, from the official Topps odds sheet. Checking what boxes actually go for? Hobby box sold listings on eBay · Mega Box sold listings.

Refractor Rainbow Odds

Hobby, common to rarest, straight off the printed sheet. Base Cards and Chrome Prospects carry the same rate on every color they share. Odds are per pack; a Hobby box holds 6 packs and a case holds 12 boxes. Mega Box runs a completely different color scheme — its rainbow is below.

ParallelPrint RunHobbyIn Boxes
RefractorUnnumbered1:201 per 3.3
Pulsar Refractor/3991:231 per 3.8
Fuchsia Wave Refractor/2991:311 per 5.2
Fuchsia Refractor—1:331 per 5.5
Aqua RayWave Refractor—1:491 per 8.2
Blue Wave Refractor/1501:611 per 10
Blue Refractor/1501:641 per 11
Wave Refractor/1001:921 per 15
Green Refractor/991:971 per 16
Green Wave Refractor—1:971 per 16
Yellow Refractor/751:1281 per 21
Gold Refractor/501:1921 per 32
Orange Refractor/251:3841 per 64
Black Refractor—1:9601 per 160
Red Refractor/51:1,9211 per 320
SuperFractor1/11:9,6411 per 1607

Autograph Odds

Chrome Prospect Autographs are the reason people buy this product. Read the rates below as odds for that set, not as a box count: Topps builds every Hobby box to hold two on-card autographs, and the printed per-pack odds cover the Chrome Prospect Autograph set alone — the two don't multiply out to each other.

Autograph SetHobbyIn BoxesWhat it is
Chrome Prospect Autographs1:61 per 1.0The pillar hit — on-card prospect autos
Chrome Prospect Auto — Refractor1:411 per 6.8First parallel rung
Chrome Prospect Auto — Orange /251:3581 per 60
Chrome Rookie Autographs1:3711 per 62On-card RC autos
Chrome Prospect Auto — Gold /501:3741 per 62Longer odds than the Orange /25 despite the bigger print run
Chrome Prospect Auto — Red /51:3,5601 per 593
Chrome Prospect Auto — SuperFractor 1/11:17,5841 per 2931The one-of-one

Recent Chrome Prospect autograph sales on eBay.

Insert Set Odds

Base insert pull rates, per pack. Refractor parallels of the inserts run rarer.

Insert SetCardsHobbyTheme
Big Break—1:3Breakout-season insert
IT Came to the League—1:3Debut-arrival insert
Stars of the Future—1:3Top-prospect showcase
2026 MLB Spring Breakout—1:6Spring Breakout tribute — has its own autograph parallel
Travel Tags—1:6Luggage-tag design — has its own autograph parallel
Bowman GPK—1:304Garbage Pail Kids crossover
Final Draft—1:380Draft-class insert
Jumbo Chrome Auto Relics—1:506Autographed jumbo relic
Bowman Spotlights—1:675Top-performer spotlight
Crystallized—1:759Special foil/design treatment
Across the Seams—1:2,003Design-tribute insert

Variations & Chase Cards

The short-print and variation hunt, Hobby packs. These are the cards that make a base card worth checking twice.

CardHobbyIn BoxesNotes
Chrome Rookie Red RC Variation (base)1:4~1.5 per boxRed RC logo variation
WBC Flag Variation Refractor1:201 per 3.3World Baseball Classic home-country flag art
Chrome Prospect Packfractor Variation1:1091 per 18
Rookie Short Print Image Variations1:1281 per 21
International Refractor Variation1:3021 per 50
Chrome Prospect Packfractor Autograph Variation1:3571 per 60
Retrofractor Variation1:1,9211 per 320
Chrome Prospect Autographs — Gold Ink Variation1:2,1591 per 360
Big Break Autograph Variation1:7,0071 per 1168
International Refractor Autograph Variation1:10,2341 per 1706

Mega Box Odds — the Mojo Rainbow

Mega Box is not a cheaper Hobby box. It runs its own color scheme almost end to end — Mojo Refractors in colors Hobby never prints, plus a Lazer Refractor and a Steel Metal Refractor. Black Refractor is the only name the two sides share, and it falls at a different rate in each. Odds are per pack; a Mega box holds 6 packs.

ParallelPrint RunMegaIn Boxes
Lazer Refractor—1:3~2.0 per box
Fuchsia Mojo Refractor—1:771 per 13
Purple Mojo Refractor—1:921 per 15
Pink Mojo Refractor—1:1151 per 19
Blue Mojo Refractor—1:1531 per 26
Aqua Mojo Refractor—1:1831 per 31
Steel Metal Refractor—1:2291 per 38
Green Mojo Refractor—1:2311 per 39
Yellow Mojo Refractor—1:3051 per 51
Gold Mojo Refractor—1:4581 per 76
Orange Mojo Refractor—1:9151 per 153
Black & White Mojo Refractor—1:1,5251 per 254
Black Refractor—1:2,2871 per 381
Red Mojo Refractor—1:4,5781 per 763
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor—1:22,9821 per 3830

Mega Box Autographs

No per-box guarantee in Mega. The prospect auto is the chase at 1:97 packs — roughly one every 16 boxes.

AutographMegaIn BoxesNotes
Chrome Prospect Autographs — Mega Box Mojo1:971 per 16The Mega auto. No per-box guarantee.
Prospect Auto — Purple Mojo1:2071 per 35
Prospect Auto — Blue Mojo1:2821 per 47
Prospect Auto — Aqua Mojo1:3251 per 54
Prospect Auto — Green Mojo1:4151 per 69
Prospect Auto — Gold Mojo1:8051 per 134
Bowman Rookies Mega Autographs1:8461 per 141Mega-exclusive RC autos
Prospect Auto — Orange Mojo1:1,5821 per 264
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Gold Mojo1:1,7651 per 294
Prospect Auto — Black & White Mojo1:2,5691 per 428
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Orange Mojo1:3,2691 per 545
Prospect Auto — Black Mojo1:3,8171 per 636
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Black & White Mojo1:5,4481 per 908
Prospect Auto — Red Mojo1:7,9651 per 1328
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Black Mojo1:8,1721 per 1362
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Red Mojo1:16,3431 per 2724
Prospect Auto — Rose Gold Mojo1:39,3971 per 6566
Bowman Rookies Mega Auto — Rose Gold Mojo1:81,7121 per 13619

Mega Box releases September 23, 2026. Mega Box listings on eBay.

The Complete Printed Sheet

Everything above is the short version. Below is every row Topps prints, grouped the way the sheet groups it and ordered common to rarest inside each group. Hobby first, then Mega Box.

Hobby — every printed row

Base Cards

Base1:1~6.0 per box
Refractor1:201 per 3.3
Pulsar Refractor1:231 per 3.8
Fuchsia Wave Refractor1:311 per 5.2
Fuchsia Refractor1:331 per 5.5
Aqua RayWave Refractor1:491 per 8.2
Blue Wave Refractor1:611 per 10
Blue Refractor1:641 per 11
Wave Refractor1:921 per 15
Green Refractor1:971 per 16
Green Wave Refractor1:971 per 16
Yellow Refractor1:1281 per 21
Gold Refractor1:1921 per 32
Orange Refractor1:3841 per 64
Black Refractor1:9601 per 160
Red Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
SuperFractor1:9,6411 per 1607

Bowman Chrome Prospects

Base1:1~6.0 per box
X-Fractor1:61 per 1.0
Chrome Shimmer1:111 per 1.8
Refractor1:201 per 3.3
Pulsar Refractor1:231 per 3.8
Speckle Refractor1:331 per 5.5
Purple Pulsar Refractor1:371 per 6.2
Purple Wave Refractor1:371 per 6.2
Purple Shimmer1:371 per 6.2
Purple Refractor1:391 per 6.5
Fuchsia Shimmer1:461 per 7.7
Blue Wave Refractor1:611 per 10
Blue Refractor1:641 per 11
Reptilian Blue Refractor1:641 per 11
League Logofractor1:721 per 12
Aqua Pulsar Refractor1:731 per 12
Aqua Refractor1:771 per 13
Wave Refractor1:921 per 15
Green Shimmer1:931 per 16
Green Refractor1:971 per 16
Green Wave Refractor1:971 per 16
Reptilian Green Refractor1:971 per 16
Yellow Refractor1:1281 per 21
Yellow Wave Refractor1:1281 per 21
Gold Shimmer1:1831 per 31
Gold Refractor1:1921 per 32
Gold Wave Refractor1:1921 per 32
Reptilian Gold Refractor1:1921 per 32
Bowman Logofractor1:2751 per 46
Orange Shimmer1:3651 per 61
Orange Refractor1:3841 per 64
Orange Wave Refractor1:3841 per 64
Reptilian Orange Refractor1:3841 per 64
Black Refractor1:9601 per 160
Black Wave Refractor1:9601 per 160
Reptilian Black Refractor1:9601 per 160
Red Shimmer1:1,8231 per 304
Red Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
Red Wave Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
Reptilian Red Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
SuperFractor1:9,6411 per 1607

Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs

Base1:61 per 1.0
Refractor1:411 per 6.8
Speckle Refractor1:651 per 11
Purple Refractor1:761 per 13
Reptilian Blue Refractor1:911 per 15
Reptilian Green Refractor1:921 per 15
Blue Refractor1:1271 per 21
Mini Diamond1:1831 per 31
Blue RayWave Refractor1:1881 per 31
Green Refractor1:1901 per 32
Yellow Refractor1:2491 per 42
Gold Mini Diamond1:2751 per 46
Orange Shimmer1:3561 per 59
Orange Refractor1:3581 per 60
Gold Refractor1:3741 per 62
Black & White Shimmer1:1,5731 per 262
Bowman Logofractor1:1,6141 per 269
Black X-Fractor1:1,8021 per 300
Black Refractor1:1,8281 per 305
Reptilian Red Refractor1:2,6331 per 439
Red Refractor1:3,5601 per 593
Red Shimmer1:5,4281 per 905
SuperFractor1:17,5841 per 2931

Chrome Rookie Autographs

Base1:3711 per 62
Refractor1:3881 per 65
Blue Refractor1:6311 per 105
Green Refractor1:9651 per 161
Orange Refractor1:1,2861 per 214
Gold Refractor1:1,3431 per 224
Black Refractor1:11,4191 per 1903
Red Refractor1:12,9301 per 2155
SuperFractor1:62,8001 per 10467

2026 MLB Spring Breakout

Base1:61 per 1.0
Mini Diamond Refractor1:4271 per 71
Gold Refractor1:1,2811 per 214
Autograph1:2,0451 per 341
Orange Refractor1:2,5641 per 427
Autograph Gold Mini-Diamond1:3,6341 per 606
Autograph Orange Refractor1:6,6611 per 1110
Red Refractor1:13,0351 per 2173
Autograph Red Refractor1:33,8161 per 5636
SuperFractor1:77,1231 per 12854
Autograph SuperFractor1:175,8391 per 29307

Big Break

Base1:3~2.0 per box
Mini Diamond Refractor1:2561 per 43
Gold Refractor1:7691 per 128
Orange Refractor1:1,5401 per 257
Autograph Variation1:7,0071 per 1168
Red Refractor1:7,7781 per 1296
SuperFractor1:42,0671 per 7011

IT Came to the League

Base1:3~2.0 per box
Mini Diamond Refractor1:3201 per 53
Gold Refractor1:9601 per 160
Orange Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
Autograph1:2,3021 per 384
Autograph Gold Mini-Diamond1:4,5561 per 759
Autograph Orange Refractor1:7,2671 per 1211
Red Refractor1:9,6411 per 1607
Autograph Red Refractor1:36,6331 per 6106
SuperFractor1:54,4401 per 9073
Autograph SuperFractor1:175,8391 per 29307

Stars of the Future

Base1:3~2.0 per box
Mini Diamond Refractor1:3201 per 53
Gold Refractor1:9601 per 160
Orange Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
Red Refractor1:9,6411 per 1607
SuperFractor1:54,4401 per 9073

Travel Tags

Base1:61 per 1.0
Mini Diamond Refractor1:4271 per 71
Gold Refractor1:1,2811 per 214
Orange Refractor1:2,5641 per 427
Autograph1:2,6331 per 439
Autograph Gold Mini-Diamond1:5,2031 per 867
Autograph Orange Refractor1:7,2671 per 1211
Red Refractor1:13,0351 per 2173
Autograph Red Refractor1:36,6331 per 6106
SuperFractor1:77,1231 per 12854
Autograph SuperFractor1:175,8391 per 29307

Bowman GPK

Base1:3041 per 51
Autographs Black Refractor1:4,5541 per 759
Red Refractor1:6,0641 per 1011
SuperFractor1:29,3071 per 4885

Final Draft

Base1:3801 per 63
Black Refractor1:7,5801 per 1263
Red Refractor1:15,4251 per 2571
SuperFractor1:73,2661 per 12211

Jumbo Chrome Auto Relics

Base1:5061 per 84
Orange Refractor1:1,0511 per 175
Gold Refractor1:1,2151 per 203
Black Refractor1:5,3611 per 894
Red Refractor1:10,3441 per 1724
SuperFractor1:51,7181 per 8620

Bowman Spotlights

Base1:6751 per 113
Red Refractor1:19,9821 per 3330
SuperFractor1:109,8991 per 18317

Crystallized

Base1:7591 per 127
Gold Refractor1:1,5221 per 254
Orange Refractor1:3,0431 per 507
Red Refractor1:15,4251 per 2571
SuperFractor1:73,2661 per 12211

Across the Seams

Base1:2,0031 per 334
Red Refractor1:16,5891 per 2765
SuperFractor1:79,9271 per 13321

WBC Flag Variation Refractor

Base1:201 per 3.3
Blue Refractor1:641 per 11
Green Refractor1:971 per 16
Gold Refractor1:1921 per 32
Orange Refractor1:3841 per 64
Black Refractor1:9601 per 160
Autograph1:1,3811 per 230
Red Refractor1:1,9211 per 320
SuperFractor1:9,6411 per 1607
Autograph SuperFractor1:33,8161 per 5636

Variations & Retrofractors

Chrome Rookie Red RC Variation (base)1:4~1.5 per box
Chrome Prospect Packfractor Variation1:1091 per 18
Rookie Short Print Image Variations1:1281 per 21
International Refractor Variation1:3021 per 50
Chrome Prospect Packfractor Autograph Variation1:3571 per 60
Retrofractor Variation1:1,9211 per 320
Chrome Prospect Autographs Gold Ink Variation1:2,1591 per 360
Rookie SP Image Variation Autographs Refractor1:5,3111 per 885
Retrofractor Variation Gold Refractor1:9,6411 per 1607
International Refractor Autograph Variation1:10,2341 per 1706
Retrofractor Variation Orange Refractor1:19,6911 per 3282
Retrofractor Autograph Variation Gold Refractor1:37,9501 per 6325
Retrofractor Autograph Variation Orange Refractor1:72,8641 per 12144
Rookie SP Image Variation Autographs SuperFractor1:130,1141 per 21686
Retrofractor Variation Red Refractor1:132,2101 per 22035
Retrofractor Autograph Variation Red Refractor1:364,3191 per 60720
Retrofractor Variation SuperFractor1:439,5961 per 73266
Retrofractor Autograph Variation SuperFractor1:1,821,5941 per 303599

Mega Box — every printed row

Base Cards

Base1:1~6.0 per box
Lazer Refractor1:3~2.0 per box
Chrome Rookie Red RC Variation1:121 per 2.0

Bowman Chrome Prospects

Base1:1~6.0 per box
Lazer Refractor1:3~2.0 per box

Mega Base + Chrome Prospects Mojo

Fuchsia Mojo Refractor1:771 per 13
Purple Mojo Refractor1:921 per 15
Pink Mojo Refractor1:1151 per 19
Blue Mojo Refractor1:1531 per 26
Aqua Mojo Refractor1:1831 per 31
Steel Metal Refractor1:2291 per 38
Green Mojo Refractor1:2311 per 39
Yellow Mojo Refractor1:3051 per 51
Gold Mojo Refractor1:4581 per 76
Orange Mojo Refractor1:9151 per 153
Black & White Mojo Refractor1:1,5251 per 254
Black Refractor1:2,2871 per 381
Red Mojo Refractor1:4,5781 per 763
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:22,9821 per 3830

Mega Image Variations

Base + Chrome Prospect Image Variation1:1,1041 per 184
Image Variation Autograph Parallel1:6,3041 per 1051
Image Variation Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:129,7771 per 21630

Chrome Prospect Autographs — Mega Box Mojo

Base1:971 per 16
Purple Mojo Refractor1:2071 per 35
Blue Mojo Refractor1:2821 per 47
Aqua Mojo Refractor1:3251 per 54
Green Mojo Refractor1:4151 per 69
Gold Mojo Refractor1:8051 per 134
Orange Mojo Refractor1:1,5821 per 264
Black & White Mojo Refractor1:2,5691 per 428
Black Mojo Refractor1:3,8171 per 636
Red Mojo Refractor1:7,9651 per 1328
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:39,3971 per 6566

Bowman Rookies Mega Autographs

Base1:8461 per 141
Gold Mojo Refractor1:1,7651 per 294
Orange Mojo Refractor1:3,2691 per 545
Black & White Mojo Refractor1:5,4481 per 908
Black Mojo Refractor1:8,1721 per 1362
Red Mojo Refractor1:16,3431 per 2724
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:81,7121 per 13619

Mega 2026 MLB Spring Breakout Mojo

Base1:61 per 1.0
Purple Mojo Refractor1:3661 per 61
Pink Mojo Refractor1:4601 per 77
Blue Mojo Refractor1:6101 per 102
Green Mojo Refractor1:9251 per 154
Orange Mojo Refractor1:3,6711 per 612
Black Mojo Refractor1:9,1931 per 1532
Red Mojo Refractor1:18,5401 per 3090
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:100,2821 per 16714

Mega IT Came to the League Mojo

Base1:61 per 1.0
Purple Mojo Refractor1:4581 per 76
Pink Mojo Refractor1:5751 per 96
Blue Mojo Refractor1:7631 per 127
Green Mojo Refractor1:1,1561 per 193
Orange Mojo Refractor1:4,5781 per 763
Black Mojo Refractor1:11,4321 per 1905
Red Mojo Refractor1:22,9821 per 3830
Rose Gold Mojo Refractor1:129,7771 per 21630

Bowman GPK

Base1:4,5681 per 761
Red Refractor1:91,9251 per 15321
SuperFractor1:441,2411 per 73540

Final Draft

Base1:5,7161 per 953
Black Refractor1:116,1161 per 19353
Red Refractor1:220,6211 per 36770
SuperFractor1:1,103,1001 per 183850

Bowman Spotlights

Base1:10,1671 per 1695
Red Refractor1:315,1721 per 52529
SuperFractor1:1,103,1001 per 183850

Crystallized

Base1:11,4321 per 1905
Gold Refractor1:22,7451 per 3791
Orange Refractor1:45,9631 per 7661
Red Refractor1:220,6211 per 36770
SuperFractor1:1,103,1001 per 183850

About this sheet. Topps prints five configuration columns — Hobby, Breaker, Sapphire, Mega Box SE and Mega Box EA. This page publishes Hobby and Mega Box; the SE and EA columns print identical odds on every row, so they are shown as one Mega column. Breaker and Sapphire are separate products with their own rates and are not tabulated here. Where the Print Run column reads “—”, the odds sheet does not state a serial number for that parallel. Topps notes that checklists and odds reflect the intended configuration at the time of production and that actual contents may vary.

2026 Bowman Chrome Odds — FAQ

What are the 2026 Bowman Chrome pack odds?

From the official Topps sheet, per Hobby pack: Refractor 1:20, Pulsar /399 1:23, Fuchsia Wave /299 1:31, Blue Wave /150 1:61, Blue /150 1:64, Wave /100 1:92, Green /99 1:97, Yellow /75 1:128, Gold /50 1:192, Orange /25 1:384, Red /5 1:1,921 and SuperFractor 1/1 1:9,641. Chrome Prospect Autographs fall 1:6 packs and Chrome Rookie Autographs 1:371.

How many autographs are in a 2026 Bowman Chrome hobby box?

Two on-card autographs per Hobby box. Hobby cases hold 12 boxes, so 24 autographs per case.

What is the difference between 2026 Bowman Chrome Hobby and Mega Box odds?

Hobby is 6 packs of 10 cards with two guaranteed on-card autographs and the deepest rainbow, including the Hobby-exclusive Pulsar /399, Fuchsia Wave /299, Blue Wave /150 and Wave /100. Mega Box is 6 packs of 6 cards with no auto guarantee, built around the Mega-exclusive Mojo Refractor. Hobby released September 9, 2026; Mega Box followed September 23.

What are the odds of pulling a 2026 Bowman Chrome SuperFractor?

A base or Chrome Prospect SuperFractor 1/1 falls 1:9,641 Hobby packs. At 6 packs per box that is roughly 1 per 1,607 boxes, or about 1 per 134 twelve-box cases. The Chrome Prospect Autograph SuperFractor is 1:17,584 packs.

Want the Whole Set?

See the Full 2026 Bowman Chrome Checklist

The 100-card base set, all 100 Chrome Prospects with autograph callouts, every insert enumerated, and a free printable PDF.

View Full Checklist →

Related Guides

2026 Bowman Pack Breakdown — Hobby, Jumbo & Value Odds→What Is a Case Hit? Meaning & Examples→2026 Topps Finest — Pack Odds→← Back to All Checklists→

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